BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Ball State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Ball State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.55 |
16.03 (-6.52) |
15.82 |
9.75 (-6.07) |
9.75 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
377.73 |
318.17 (-59.56) |
289.36 |
252.45 (-36.92) |
252.45 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.12 |
4.37 (-0.75) |
4.68 |
4.10 (-0.58) |
4.10 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
29.36 |
32.95 (+3.58) |
26.00 |
30.83 (+4.83) |
30.83 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
422.36 |
449.35 (+26.98) |
309.09 |
364.32 (+55.23) |
364.32 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
5.22 |
5.55 (+0.33) |
5.12 |
5.50 (+0.38) |
5.50 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +1.0 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Kentucky |
8.67 |
40.69 |
+32.03 |
49.36 |
0.10% |
L 14-44 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
@Georgia |
2.03 |
48.84 |
+46.81 |
50.87 |
0.10% |
L 3-45 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Indiana State |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 45-7 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Georgia Southern |
17.72 |
29.99 |
+12.27 |
47.71 |
30.32% |
L 3-40 |
1-3 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@Western Michigan |
20.54 |
27.55 |
+7.01 |
48.09 |
38.76% |
L 24-42 |
1-4 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Eastern Michigan |
13.46 |
13.21 |
-0.25 |
26.67 |
50.41% |
L 10-24 |
1-5 |
| 2023-10-14 |
Toledo |
12.91 |
30.17 |
+17.26 |
43.08 |
22.31% |
L 6-13 |
1-6 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Central Michigan |
17.62 |
21.06 |
+3.44 |
38.68 |
44.49% |
W 24-17 |
2-6 |
| 2023-11-01 |
@Bowling Green |
11.49 |
26.24 |
+14.75 |
37.72 |
26.34% |
L 21-24 |
2-7 |
| 2023-11-08 |
@Northern Illinois |
13.19 |
24.55 |
+11.36 |
37.75 |
31.78% |
W 20-17 |
3-7 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Kent State |
24.31 |
11.71 |
-12.60 |
36.02 |
70.21% |
W 34-3 |
4-7 |
| 2023-11-25 |
Miami (OH) |
7.94 |
20.56 |
+12.62 |
28.49 |
29.76% |
L 15-17 |
4-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 4-8 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 0-12 |
0.00% |
| 1-11 |
0.95% |
| 2-10 |
6.51% |
| 3-9 |
18.23% |
| 4-8 |
27.09% |
| 5-7 |
25.24% |
| 6-6 |
14.90% |
| 7-5 |
5.53% |
| 8-4 |
1.35% |
| 9-3 |
0.19% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |